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H48omer

Member Since 10 Aug 2014
Offline Last Active Mar 27 2024 09:53 AM

#1429131 Analytic optimism

Posted by H48omer on 02 May 2023 - 03:07 PM

https://www.mlssocce...an-their-record

 

read the whole thing but the gist is this - 

"But it wouldn’t be The Daily Kickoff if we didn’t let everyone know, per American Soccer Analysis, their expected goals numbers suggest they should be far closer to first place in the East than last.  And by that I mean, they have the single best expected goal differential in the East. They’re creating higher-quality chances than their opponents on a consistent basis. But there they are. In last."

 

 

https://www.mlssocce...rformers-in-mls

 

another article with the numbers.   xG is 13.25  scored 7.  difference of -6.25 which ranks us 3rd worst.  

 

 

i think we'll make the playoffs.  Our numbers should start to revert back to the mean, plus Morgan and Vanzeir return.  struber stops playing barlow (one can hope)