The problem is the entire country isn't working on the same timeline. The downward trend of the curve in this area will be happening some time in April but other areas are behind.
My prediction is some type of shortened training camp in June and then actual games in July. Even then there's going to be severe restrictions with distancing but we all can't sit inside forever. Even though it seems some people want to.
Something that bugs the shit out of me is that every news source is doing such a shitty job of just providing the one chart that matters most in terms of prediction. THat is the new case chart. You don't need to be a genius to be able to see those charts and figure out when things are getting better. The articles that are everywhere is usually the total cases and that's useless. You have to get more local and figure out the curves there. NYC is perfect for that, especially because it's the biggest small area. I had a good spot on NYC's site to just track new cases, but now that's tougher to view because it never seems accurate and the chart seems flawed. But assuming that's accurate right now, NYC is seeing a big drop already in new cases. Wednesday seen half the new cases that Tuesday seen. Deaths and everything else will lag behind that, but new cases is the first, best indicator for this whole thing.